ElectrifyCalc

All 50 States + DC · 2026 · No Federal Tax Credit

Solar Panels by State: 2026 Cost, Payback & ROI

The 30% federal solar tax credit (Section 25D) expired December 31, 2025. All estimates below reflect 2026 math using NREL PVWatts production data, EIA electricity rates, and LBNL average installed costs — no federal credit included. Click any state for a full breakdown.

Payback:≤8 years (Excellent)9–13 years (Good)14–20 years (Fair)>20 years (Poor)

All States Ranked by Payback Period

Assumes 900 kWh/month home, 100% offset, no state rebate. System cost at $2.95/W (LBNL 2024 avg).

RankStateRate (¢/kWh)System (kW)CostPayback25-yr Savings
1Hawaii38.5¢6.2$18,2064.2 yr$132,970
2California29.8¢6.3$18,7415.6 yr$102,922
3Connecticut29.5¢8.6$25,4887.5 yr$101,886
4Rhode Island27.8¢8.8$25,9028.0 yr$96,014
5New Hampshire27.5¢9.0$26,5508.3 yr$94,978
6Massachusetts27.2¢9.0$26,5508.4 yr$93,942
7Maine24.8¢9.4$27,7049.5 yr$85,653
8New York22.5¢9.0$26,55010.0 yr$77,710
9New Mexico13.8¢5.7$16,76810.3 yr$47,662
10Arizona13.5¢5.7$16,76810.5 yr$46,626
11Vermont21.5¢9.2$27,00010.6 yr$74,256
12Nevada13.2¢5.7$16,76810.7 yr$45,590
13New Jersey18.5¢8.4$24,89111.2 yr$63,894
14Colorado14.2¢6.5$19,30911.3 yr$49,043
15Texas14.2¢6.5$19,30911.3 yr$49,043
16Florida14.0¢7.0$20,55512.2 yr$48,353
17Maryland16.2¢8.2$24,13612.3 yr$55,951
18Alaska23.4¢12.0$35,40012.5 yr$80,818
19District of Columbia16.0¢8.3$24,50812.6 yr$55,260
20Pennsylvania16.8¢8.8$25,90212.7 yr$58,023
21Kansas13.2¢7.1$20,82413.0 yr$45,590
22South Carolina13.5¢7.3$21,52713.1 yr$46,626
23Michigan17.0¢9.4$27,70413.3 yr$58,714
24Georgia13.0¢7.2$21,24013.4 yr$44,899
25Utah10.8¢6.0$17,70013.4 yr$37,301
26Delaware14.8¢8.3$24,50813.5 yr$51,116
27Alabama13.2¢7.5$21,97213.6 yr$45,590
28North Carolina12.8¢7.5$21,97213.9 yr$44,208
29Illinois14.5¢8.6$25,48814.2 yr$50,079
30Oklahoma11.5¢6.8$20,16514.2 yr$39,718
31Virginia13.5¢8.0$23,60014.2 yr$46,626
32Wisconsin15.2¢9.0$26,55014.2 yr$52,497
33Mississippi12.2¢7.3$21,52714.3 yr$42,136
34Minnesota13.8¢8.6$25,48814.9 yr$47,662
35Arkansas11.8¢7.6$22,43715.2 yr$40,754
36Missouri12.0¢7.8$23,08715.4 yr$41,445
37Montana11.8¢7.8$23,08715.6 yr$40,754
38South Dakota11.8¢7.8$23,08715.6 yr$40,754
39Ohio13.5¢9.0$26,55015.7 yr$46,626
40Indiana13.1¢8.8$26,11515.9 yr$45,244
41Louisiana10.8¢7.3$21,52715.9 yr$37,301
42Wyoming10.5¢7.1$20,96115.9 yr$36,264
43Tennessee11.5¢7.8$23,08716.0 yr$39,718
44Nebraska10.5¢7.3$21,52716.3 yr$36,264
45Oregon12.5¢9.0$26,55016.8 yr$43,172
46Idaho10.2¢7.5$21,97217.0 yr$35,228
47Iowa11.5¢8.4$24,89117.0 yr$39,718
48West Virginia12.0¢8.8$25,90217.0 yr$41,445
49Kentucky11.2¢8.3$24,50817.2 yr$38,682
50North Dakota10.8¢8.2$24,13617.5 yr$37,301
51Washington10.5¢9.8$28,96420.9 yr$36,264

West States

Southwest States

Northwest States

Southeast States

Northeast States

Midwest States

What Determines Solar ROI by State?

Two numbers drive most of the variation in solar ROI across states: your electricity rate and your solar resource.

Electricity rate determines what you save per kilowatt-hour your panels produce. Hawaii at 38.5¢/kWh saves nearly four times as much per kWh as Idaho at 10.2¢/kWh. This is the single biggest lever in solar economics — more so than the solar resource.

Solar resource (measured in kWh per kW installed per year from NREL PVWatts) determines how much electricity your system produces. Arizona and Nevada lead at 1,900 kWh/kW/year — about 70% more than Washington state at 1,100 kWh/kW/year. A 6 kW system in Phoenix produces roughly 11,400 kWh/year; the same system in Seattle produces about 6,600 kWh.

The best solar economics combine high electricity rates with strong sun — Hawaii, California, and the New England states with rates above 25¢/kWh tend to top the rankings. States like Idaho and Washington face both low rates and limited sun, creating the longest payback periods in the country.

What Changed in 2026?

The residential solar Investment Tax Credit (Section 25D) expired December 31, 2025 for homeowners. Through 2025, a $20,000 system effectively cost $14,000 after the 30% federal credit. In 2026, that same system costs the full $20,000 (minus any remaining state incentives). This shifts payback periods roughly 2–4 years longer across the board.

State incentives remain. New York's NY-Sun program, Massachusetts' SMART program, New Jersey's SREC market, Iowa's 15% state credit, and Arizona's 25% state credit (up to $1,000) are still active. The calculator on each state page can be used to model these rebates. For a full list, check DSIRE (dsireusa.org).

Calculate Your Specific Solar ROI

The state pages use 900 kWh/month as a typical home. Enter your actual electric bill, state rebate amounts, and desired offset percentage for a personalized estimate.

All estimates use NREL PVWatts v8 production data, EIA 2025 residential electricity rates, and LBNL 2024 average installed costs ($2.95/W). Assumes 0.5%/yr panel degradation and 2.5%/yr electricity rate escalation. No Section 25D federal credit is included. State rebates are not reflected in the pre-computed figures. Actual results vary by roof orientation, shading, utility rate structure, and local permit costs. Consult a licensed installer before making any purchasing decision.